đź’¨ Abstract

Prediction markets indicate a clear favorite for Donald Trump over Kamala Harris in the U.S. election, based on betting volume on crypto platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Despite the contrast with neck-and-neck opinion polls, some question the validity of these markets due to their reliance on crypto-native users. The platforms have seen significant trading volumes, with Polymarket alone recording $3.1

Courtesy: theprint.in

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